I really dislike this kind of analysis, which looks at the one-dimension of proportionality of the vote as representative of preference shifts. I think you also need to look at total votes and comparison to prior votes to determine whether there is a real preference shift, especially given that Trump will end up with about the same number of popular votes as he received before.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/06/trump-big-cities-popular-vote/

About the author

Earnest

Earnest has been working in viral web content curation, creation, and trends research for more than 15 years. When not trying to figure out if it is still possible to become a professional wrestler, Earnest leads trends research for YouTube's Culture and Trends team.

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